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BTC Price Prediction: Consolidation Phase Before Next Leg Up?

BTC Price Prediction: Consolidation Phase Before Next Leg Up?

Published:
2025-06-13 04:54:36
22
1

#BTC

  • Technical Indicators Show Consolidation: Current price sits between key Bollinger Bands with mixed momentum signals
  • Institutional Adoption Accelerating: Major firms integrating Bitcoin rewards and financial products
  • Long-Term Growth Intact: 31% CAGR suggests sustained upward trajectory despite volatility

BTC Price Prediction

BTC Technical Analysis: Short-Term Pullback Within Bullish Context

BTC currently trades at $104,465, slightly below its 20-day moving average of $106,365, suggesting a mild bearish signal in the NEAR term. The MACD histogram shows a negative reading of -55.29, indicating weakening momentum. However, prices remain comfortably within the Bollinger Band range ($101,724 - $111,005), showing no extreme volatility. ''This looks like a healthy consolidation after the recent rally,'' says BTCC analyst Robert. ''The 4-year CAGR rebounding to 31% suggests the long-term uptrend remains intact.''

BTCUSDT

Mixed Market Sentiment as Institutional Adoption Grows

Positive developments like Coinbase''s 4% Bitcoin rewards card and H100 Group''s Bitcoin-fueled stock surge contrast with $340M liquidations during the correction. ''The MicroStrategy criticism and mining squeeze headlines create noise,'' notes Robert, ''but the underlying institutional adoption story keeps strengthening.'' The record hashrate demonstrates fundamental network security despite price fluctuations.

Factors Influencing BTC''s Price

H100 Group''s Bitcoin Bet Fuels 45% Stock Surge as Health Tech Embraces Crypto

Sweden''s H100 Group AB has seen its shares skyrocket 280% since announcing its Bitcoin treasury strategy in May, with a single-day surge of 45% following a $10.6 million capital raise. The health tech firm plans to allocate the funds toward expanding its BTC holdings, potentially acquiring 67.1 additional BTC to bring its total to 81.85 BTC.

The move reflects a broader institutional trend, with 126 public companies now holding bitcoin as part of their reserves—14 of which adopted the strategy in just the past three weeks. H100''s pivot from healthcare technology to Bitcoin adoption, backed by prominent crypto advocate Adam Back, signals growing cross-industry recognition of BTC as a reserve asset.

Solv Protocol and Lista DAO Launch $SolvBTC/$USD1 Lending Market on BNB Chain

Solv Protocol, a prominent Bitcoin staking platform, has integrated its $SolvBTC token into Lista DAO, a leading lending protocol with over $1 billion in total value locked (TVL). The collaboration introduces a new lending market for the $SolvBTC/$USD1 trading pair on BNB Chain, enhancing utility for Bitcoin holders.

The integration allows users to collateralize $SolvBTC to borrow $USD1, a decentralized stablecoin issued by Liberty Finance. This move aims to improve capital efficiency and liquidity options for cryptocurrency investors. An early liquidity pool of up to $1 million is already live, with competitive borrowing rates expected to attract significant participation.

Remixpoint Pivots to Web 3.0 with Major Bitcoin Accumulation

Japan''s Remixpoint, a publicly listed energy solutions firm, has aggressively shifted its corporate strategy toward cryptocurrency and Web 3.0 initiatives. The company acquired 55.6 BTC on June 11, elevating its total holdings to 981 BTC—now Japan''s third-largest public Bitcoin treasury. The ¥887.3 million ($6.2 million) purchase aligns with its stated goal of holding 1,000 BTC, mirroring Tokyo-based Metaplanet''s benchmark of 210,000 BTC by 2027.

Management restructuring accompanies this pivot, with executive reshuffles and collaboration from financial giant SBI. The MOVE signals deepening institutional adoption in Japan, where even fashion retailer ANAP recently expanded its BTC holdings to 153 coins. Bitcoin''s role as a corporate treasury asset continues gaining traction among diverse industries.

Bitcoin Price Nosedives—Profit-Taking Sparks Sudden Correction

Bitcoin''s price tumbled sharply after failing to breach the $110,500 resistance level, triggering a cascade of sell-offs. The cryptocurrency slid below critical support zones at $107,500 and $106,500 before testing the $103,000 threshold. Market participants are now watching for signs of stabilization as BTC consolidates NEAR $103,200.

A bearish trend line has emerged on hourly charts, with resistance firmly entrenched at $106,600. The 100-hour Simple Moving Average reinforces this downward pressure, currently acting as a ceiling for any potential recovery. Traders note that a decisive close above $105,500 could signal the first step toward reclaiming lost ground.

The current pullback reflects classic profit-taking behavior following Bitcoin''s recent rally. While some view this as a healthy correction, the lack of immediate bullish catalysts keeps the market cautious. All eyes remain on whether institutional buyers will step in at these levels or if further downside awaits.

Coinbase Launches One Card with 4% Bitcoin Rewards for US Subscribers

Coinbase unveiled its new One Card during the State of crypto Summit in New York, offering up to 4% Bitcoin cashback on purchases. The metal card, engraved with part of the Bitcoin genesis block, runs on the American Express network and includes travel perks and purchase protections. CEO Brian Armstrong emphasized the product''s utility: "Why shouldn’t you earn 4% on your checking account?"

Access is limited to US-based Coinbase One subscribers, with cashback rates scaling from 2% based on crypto holdings. A new Basic tier ($4.99/month or $49.99/year) provides entry to the card alongside zero trading fees on $500 monthly, 4.5% APY on USDC, and $1,000 account protection. Since its 2023 launch, Coinbase One has attracted nearly one million users seeking trading, staking, and reward benefits.

Crypto Market Sees $340M Liquidations Amid Sudden Downturn

The cryptocurrency market witnessed over $340 million in liquidations within a single hour as prices abruptly reversed course. This figure likely understates the true scale, as public data fails to capture all positions. The sell-off erased two days of gains, dragging the total market capitalization down 4.52% to $3.44 trillion.

Binance, Bybit and OKX absorbed the heaviest liquidation volumes. On-chain analysts tracked a single Binance whale''s $201 million BTC/USDT long position being wiped out in real-time. The downturn arrived despite positive sentiment earlier in the day, when former U.S. President Donald TRUMP outlined crypto policy proposals at a Coinbase-hosted event.

Whale movements are drawing particular scrutiny during this volatility. Santiment data reveals large holders actively repositioning assets - a development that historically precedes significant price movements. Meanwhile, regulators continue sounding alarms about crypto''s growing entanglement with traditional finance.

Bitcoin''s 4-Year CAGR Rebounds to 31%, Signaling Potential Breakout

Bitcoin is consolidating just below its all-time high of $112,000, with traders awaiting a decisive breakout to confirm the uptrend. The cryptocurrency''s 4-year Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) has rebounded to 31%, marking a significant recovery from April''s 7% low. This resurgence aligns with BTC''s rally toward $110,000 in May–June 2025, reigniting bullish sentiment.

On-chain data from CryptoQuant reveals a shift in long-term market dynamics, with the current CAGR falling into the "strong zone." While still below historic peaks of 50–80%, the market structure suggests ample room for upside. Bitcoin''s fundamentals are strengthening as it teeters on the edge of price discovery, poised to reclaim its record high.

South Korean Court Upholds Prison Sentences for Kimchi Premium Traders

A South Korean appeals court has reinforced its stance against crypto arbitrage exploitation, upholding jail terms for traders who capitalized on the kimchi premium. The Daegu District Court maintained most original verdicts, including a three-year sentence for the 43-year-old ringleader. One trader saw their suspended sentence overturned, now facing 18 months imprisonment.

The group violated financial reporting and foreign exchange laws by smuggling billions of won into South Korea. Their scheme involved purchasing cryptocurrencies in Japan and reselling them domestically during peak demand periods when Bitcoin prices were significantly higher on Korean exchanges.

Prosecutors detailed a coordinated effort with Japanese investors to exploit the price differential. The case highlights regulatory scrutiny over cross-border crypto arbitrage as authorities clamp down on circumvention of capital controls.

Bitcoin Hashrate Reaches Record High Amid Mining Economics Squeeze

Bitcoin''s network security has achieved unprecedented strength, with the hashrate peaking at 1.046 zettahashes per second. This milestone coincides with 93.3% of Bitcoin''s total supply already mined, leaving just 1.4 million BTC to enter circulation over the next century.

Corporate adoption continues to accelerate, with 126 public companies now holding 819,857 BTC in treasury reserves. Mining difficulty has surged 6.81% to 121.51 trillion, creating intense competition as miners face post-halving revenue pressures.

The April 2024 halving reduced block rewards to 3.125 BTC, intensifying the scarcity dynamic that has become Bitcoin''s hallmark. Mercurity Fintech''s recent $800 million Bitcoin treasury allocation underscores growing institutional confidence despite mining sector challenges.

Peter Schiff Criticizes MicroStrategy''s Bitcoin Strategy as Reckless Amid $62.6B Holdings

Bitcoin skeptic Peter Schiff has launched fresh attacks on MicroStrategy Chairman Michael Saylor, labeling the company''s aggressive Bitcoin accumulation strategy as a "complete fraud" with inevitable bankruptcy risks. The criticism follows MicroStrategy''s latest disclosure of holding 582,000 BTC—valued at $62.6 billion—after a $110 million purchase.

MicroStrategy now carries an average BTC cost basis exceeding $70,000, currently enjoying 53.65% unrealized gains. Schiff contends this paper profit masks existential risk: the entire thesis collapses if Bitcoin''s price falls below the acquisition threshold. The danger compounds with MicroStrategy''s Leveraged positions—significant portions of its holdings were financed through debt.

Schiff warns of a potential "death spiral" where declining BTC prices could trigger margin calls, forcing asset liquidations precisely when collateral values deteriorate. With MicroStrategy''s $108.1 billion market cap heavily tethered to Bitcoin''s performance, both the company and its investors face asymmetric downside exposure.

Saylor remains steadfast, championing his "Bitcoin forever" doctrine. But Schiff counters that such high-conviction, high-leverage bets only succeed in perpetual bull markets—a dangerous assumption for volatile crypto assets.

Coinbase Unveils Amex-Backed Crypto Credit Card and Perpetuals Trading at 2025 Summit

Coinbase has unveiled ambitious new products at its Crypto Summit 2025, headlined by a Bitcoin rewards credit card partnership with American Express. The Coinbase One Card promises 4% back in BTC on all purchases—a stark reversal from Amex''s 2021 stance against crypto cards. This marks a significant institutional embrace of Web3 payment infrastructure.

The exchange also announced the impending launch of regulated perpetual futures trading in the US, expanding a product already available in other jurisdictions. Both developments signal Coinbase''s push to bridge traditional finance with digital assets, leveraging its position as a top-tier exchange.

Notably absent were details about how American Express will manage Bitcoin liquidity for rewards payouts. The 4% reward rate—substantially higher than most fiat credit card programs—could pressure competitors to accelerate crypto integrations.

Is BTC a good investment?

Based on current technicals and market developments, BTC presents a compelling long-term investment despite short-term volatility:

MetricValueImplication
Price vs 20MA-1.8% belowMild bearish
Bollinger Band PositionMiddle rangeNeutral
4-Year CAGR31%Strong long-term growth
Institutional News7 positive / 4 negativeNet bullish sentiment

Robert advises: ''Dollar-cost averaging makes sense here. The technical pullback creates an entry opportunity for investors with 3+ year horizons.''

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